Texas Hold’em Poker Statistics & Probabilities
Probabilities of Texas Hold'em Pocket Cards (Hole Cards)
Name
Defined Pocket Pair, i.E. AA
Ace King, suited
Ace King, off-suit (ungleicher Farbe)
Ace King, suited and off-suit
Ace with any other card, suited
Any Pocket Pair
Suited cards
Suited Connectors
Connectors, off Suit
AA, KK or QQ
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Probability
220 to 1 resp. 0.45 %
331 to 1 resp. 0.30 %
110 to 1 resp. 0.90 %
82 to 1 resp. 1.20 %
27 to 1 resp. 3.61 %
16 to 1 resp. 5.88 %
3.25 to 1 resp. 23.52 %
47 to 1 resp. 2.08 %
15 to 1 resp. 6.25 %
73 to 1 resp. 1.33 %
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Flop Statistics
Event on the Flop
|
Pocket Cards
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Example Flop
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Probability
|
Pocket Pair flops a Set (Three of a Kind) |
  |
   |
8.5 to 1 resp. 10.8 % |
Pocket Pair flops a Full House |
  |
   |
136 to 1 resp. 0.74 % |
Pocket Pair flops Quads (Four of a Kind) |
  |
   |
408 to 1 resp. 0.25 % |
Pocket Pair flops a Set or better
|
one of the three above
|
one of the three above
|
7.5 to 1 resp. 11.79 %
|
Suited Cards flop a Flush |
  |
   |
118 to 1 resp. 0.84 % |
Suited Cards flop a Flush Draw |
  |
   |
8.2 to 1 resp. 10.90 % |
Suited Karten flop a Backdoor Flush Draw |
 
|
  
|
1.4 to 1 resp. 41.6 % |
Unsuited Cards flop a Flush Draw |
  |
   |
44 to 1 resp. 2.2 % |
Unsuited Cards flop a Backdoor Flush Draw |
  |
  
|
6.8 to 1 resp. 12.8 % |
With unpaired hole cards:
Hit at least one Pair on the Flop
(by using one of your own Pocket Cards to make the pair)
|
  |
   |
2.1 to 1 resp. 32.4 % |
With unpaired hole cards: Hit exactly one Pair on the flop (by using one of your own Pocket Cards to make the pair)
|
same as above
|
same as above
|
3.45 to 1 resp. 29 % |
With unpaired hole cards: Hit two Pair on the Flop (using your own Pocket Cards)
|
  |
   |
1 to 49 resp. 2.02 % |
With unpaired hole cards:
Hit two pair on the Flop (using only one of your Pocket Cards)
|
  |
   |
1 to 24 resp. 4.04 % |
With unpaired hole cards:
Hit a Set (by using one of your own Pocket Cards)
|
  |
   |
1 to 73 resp. 1.35 % |
With unpaired hole cards:
Hit a Full House (by using both Pocket Cards)
|
  |
   |
1 to 1087 resp. 0.09 % |
With unpaired hole cards:
Hit Quads (dream on!)
|
  |
   |
1 to 9'800 resp. 0.01 % |
General Flop Statistics (without consideration of your own Pocket Cards)
Flop Description
|
Example Flop
|
Probability
|
Three of a Kind lying on the Flop
|
   |
424 to 1 resp. 0.24 % |
One pair on the Flop
|
   |
5 to 1 resp. 17 % |
Suited Flop
|
   |
18.3 to 1 resp. 5.18 % |
Two suited cards on the Flop
|
   |
0.8 to 1 resp. 55 % |
Rainbow Flop (three different suits)
|
   |
1 to 2.5 resp. 40 % |
Three Connecting Cards
|
   |
1 to 28 resp. 3.5 % |
Two Connecting Cards
|
   |
1.5 to 1 resp. 40 % |
No Connecting Cards
|
   |
0.8 to 1 resp. 56 % |
| |
Overcard Probabilty with Pocket Pairs on Flop, Turn and River
Pocket Pair
|
No Overcard on the Flop
|
No Overcard by the Turn
|
No Overcard by the River
|
 
|
77.45 % |
70.86 % |
64.70 % |
 
|
58.57 % |
48.60 % |
40.15 % |
  |
43.04 % |
32.05 % |
23.69 % |
  |
30.53 % |
20.14 % |
13.13 % |
  |
20.71 % |
11.90 % |
06.73 % |
  |
13.27 % |
06.49 % |
03.10 % |
  |
7.86 % |
3.18 % |
1.24 % |
  |
4.16 % |
1.33 % |
0.40 % |
  |
1.86 % |
0.43 % |
0.09 % |
  |
0.61 % |
0.09 % |
0.01 % |
  |
0.10 % |
0.01 % |
< 0.01 % |
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Now you must think something like 'Yeah, great poker stats. But what the hell do I do with them?'. If so, please see the Interpretation of general Texas Hold'em Statistics and Probabilities.
Back to the Poker Strategy Section
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